The Trading Floor - January 2016

Discussion in 'The Trading Floor' started by Amator, Jan 1, 2016.


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  1. wahlaueh

    wahlaueh Well-Known Member

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    Haha TTcher.....I am reading thru old post....

    History will repeat itself and punish those who refuse to learn :)

     
  2. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    Post transferred to Feb Thread...
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2016
  3. Amator

    Amator Well-Known Member

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    with that .... I think we can start the new thread for Feb 16 so the discussions cont ..........

    new thread for Feb 2016 ............

    http://www.sniper-academy.com/threads/149699-The-Trading-Floor-February-2016?p=266700#post266700
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2016
  4. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    Cheers and CONGRATS too!!! aa-17i.gif
     
  5. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    Taxi...

    Matched out one Platoon of 2.81 at closing price of 2.83 and collected another Season Parking Voucher worth 152.22 eggs. Yayyy!!!
    And that brings my month-to-date to 6065 eggs.

    The next trading day will be the 1st trading day for the month of February.
    May February brings us all abundant egg$ and may our baskets overflow with lots and lots of egg$ !!!




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    Last edited: Jan 29, 2016
  6. ozone

    ozone Well-Known Member

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    Congrats BRO !!! Felt the same the other day for M1 Pay Out !!! Immediately booked my SQ Premium Economy AirFare to HK that day !!! :sifone:
     
  7. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    Now 37 cts... 43 cts ... 20 cts.
     
  8. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    Furion...

    Another wild but Sipeh Strong BULL which will bolt out of the stable and run amok when the strong rebound day comes is SGX.
    This fellow Mai Siaw Siaw hor. He can give you an ejaculation of 20 to 30 metres. No How Seow one.
    Now 7.03 : 7.04.
    By the time the Bear Market Rally is over, I expect to see her at 7.25 to 7.40.
    The only thing about her is that she is expensive... trading at 7-dollar range.
    10% margin required is $7K for every 10 lots.
    But she runs very fast. That's how she makes it up to you.
     
  9. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    Thank you, Dai Lole.
    That was to make you come out. aa-1f.gif
    Otherwise how to see. aa-1e.gif
     
  10. Amator

    Amator Well-Known Member

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    :whip:
     
  11. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    Taxi...

    I already have LONGs at 2.81 and 2.83.
    In the queue to add LONGs at 2.81.
    Also has been queueing at 2.80 since early morn.
     
  12. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    Dun worry about these two, handsome.

    Taxi will comfort you.
    Ah Sing will Tel the BULL to wake up and run.


    Run8.gif

    Both are reporting in Feb, I guess.
    And the thing for us to do now is to Ka Ka LONG and grab those chickens whilst they are still cheaper.

    SingTel 3.49 : 3.50
    Taxi 2.81 : 2.82
     
  13. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    This month harvested 5912.78 eggs.
    Could have been better.
    But in such a difficult market, I will count my blessings.
    It was a slow start for January which was punctuated by many days of eating grass
    especially in the 2nd and 3rd trading weeks of the month. Only in the 3rd trading
    week that things started to look better and I got my momentum back which carried
    on into the 4th week. Many good opportunities missed, as always. Many instances
    of selling too early as well. Take Wilmar... I sold today at 2.90 after queueing for
    three-quarter of the day. Now she shows me 2.91 : 2.92 and who knows... at pre-closing
    she may show me 2.95 even.

    The monkey started buying and pushing only today from 2.76.
    Usually, a monkey dont stop playing after just one day.
    And as I said earlier, pullbacks are normal.
    The thing to look out for is the price doing an intraday higher high and higher low.
    As long as we see that, the upmove is intact. And we did see that.
    So buy the pullbacks whenever the price stops falling and then resume its advance.
    The monkey will likely continue this musical chair game next week.

    By the way, she is reporting results on 18 Feb 2016 after market hours.
     
  14. furion

    furion Well-Known Member

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    saw capitamall also. clear $ just now. intraday ranging quite a nice counter.

    sad case for today: comfort and singtel.
     
  15. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    Wilmar...


    You guys remember I did carpet bombing for this one when she was on her way down from above 2.90.



    [​IMG]


    My carpet bombing was at every level from 2.89 to 2.85 except for 2.86.
    After doing this carpet bombing, she BOMBED me back by dropping to 2.61.
    My Orh Bark Khark was super Tua Liap man !!! aa5b.gif

    What to do? LOON lor.
    LOONed and LOONed and LOONed man.
    Beh LOON also must LOON.
    Today, after torturing me for 2 weeks, she SONG leow and she said... "Let you go lah. Set you free. Sinnce CNY cumming".
    And upon setting me free, she said "Nah!" and she handed me a Hong Bao.
    I took a peep inside and started counting... 1 ... 2 ...3 ....4 .... etc..etc.... and counted a total of 1114.26 eggs. Yipppeeee!!!



    Faces - Yayyy.gif
     
  16. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    GLP...

    The monkey was forced by a shift in market sentiments to cover SHORTs and go LONG instead.

    Hit a New Low of 1.63 today.
    But now 1.70 : 1.705 after licking 1.71.
     
  17. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    UOB...

    She found her bottom last Tue (19 Jan) at 17.01 and has since rebounded by 92 cts.
    Hence, for her to reach her 50% mark from current level is not as much catching up
    to do compared to Dumbo which is still trading at nearer her bottom.




    [​IMG]
     
  18. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    When the Bear Market Rally goes into full swing, a stock like DBS has the potential and capacity to recover
    50% of her previous fall.




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  19. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    OCBC

    29 Jan 2016


    Singapore Yards: Exploring possible scenarios


    Should the outlook for the sector deteriorate, the market may hear more talk of potential capital raising from Keppel Corporation, Sembcorp Industries and Sembcorp Marine. Given how KEP and SMM are global champions in their fields – and indeed Singapore wants to nurture globally competitive companies – we expect Temasek to lend its support to either companies should there be a need for more funds. We explore the various scenarios that may happen, as well as the likelihood of each. In our view, KEP and SCI are likely to divest their non-core assets or investments that have netted a good return, before cutting their dividends further, and before considering the possibility of raising capital. In the longer term, a merger of KEP’s O&M division and SMM is not inconceivable, as sometimes things happen not by choice. Maintain HOLD and S$4.38 fair value estimate on KEP. For SMM, we have lowered our fair value to S$1.17 while maintaining SELL. Though this leads to a lower fair value for SCI to S$3.42, we maintain our BUY rating as the utilities portion remains undervalued.
     
  20. nottibird

    nottibird Moderator

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    Many counters are OVERSOLD.
    For me, I simply look at the price action.
    UP or DOWN, markets do not move in a straight line.
    When a market goes into a prolonged fall, at some point in time when it is oversold, it will not drop anymore.
    And it will be numb... immuned... indifferent to bad newsflow.
    At this phase of the market, that pool of sellers have dried up and that's how the laws of demand and supply works.
    As long as there are no sellers, the price cannot drop anymore.
    One way to gauge that a market is near a bottom is when you see lesser and lesser New Lows amongst the index stocks.
    Or when after making a New Low, stocks recover a little and hover there but not retesting those New Lows even though
    more bad news and selling elsewhere hits the market. This tells you those who want to sell have done so. Whoever are
    left are diehards. This kind of situation, the next time a piece of better news however small, greets the market, stocks
    will rebound led by the banks. And other good index stocks will follow. And before you know it, the rest of the market
    is rebounding too. And karteks scramble to cover.

    What we will see is a rising tide lifts all boats phenomenon... an event which means nothing for you unless you are LONG.

    But REMEMBER NOT TO GET CARRIED AWAY THINKING THE MARKET HAS RECOVERED.
    No. It is just a Bear Market Rally.
    As the rally progress, we assess the price action and take it from there as to whether the market is not just doing a technical
    rebound but is reboundind for real to bring this Bear Market to an end.

    It takes a 10% drop from the Last High for market watchers to call for a CORRECTION.
    To call for a Bear Market, we need a 20% drop.

    We had a 28% drop. The Low was 2529.
    We see how the rebound progress first and take it from there.
    Its important to keep monitoring becoz if we have SHORTs waiting for the resumption of the downtrend but the market keeps
    going up and threatens to progress to a real rebound, then SHORTs will languish. Its a tough call. I suppose hedging is about
    the best solution available unless you Folks have a better idea.
     
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