Market Psychology

Discussion in 'Acquistion Targets' started by zuolun, Nov 4, 2012.


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  1. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    How To Locate And Trade An Extended Move

    Sometimes stocks will break out or break down in a very sharp and steep angle on the charts. These type of patterns are often referred to as a parabolic move when they surge to the upside. When these patterns occur to the downside they will often be referred to as a falling knife or waterfall decline. The actual name is irrelevant, however, understanding the chart pattern is very important. As a general rule, if you ever put a protractor up to your screen from any pivot low or pivot top and the angle is more than 60 degrees it is usually unsustainable. It does not matter if the stock or commodity is rallying or declining. The technique I will show you here will help to identify when the equity is running out of steam in either direction, and will need to retrace and consolidate some of its move.

    Step 1. Scan through stock charts and find a time when a stock was extremely extended from its 20 (SMA) simple moving average.

    Step 2. Determine the distance of where the stock was trading from the 20 moving average. Simply calculate the distance of the stock from the 20 MA and draw a vertical line to reflect it.

    Step 3. Take this distance and place the line on your chart. Follow the 20 SMA with the line; if at any point the stock price exceeds the length of the line from the 20 SMA, this will be your opportunity for a trade. Wait patiently, anytime price gets above or below the distance of the line, go long or short the stock. In this example, we are looking to enter a short position when price exceeds the distance of the line to the upside. ​

    Example:

    Take a look at the TLT chart below. On February 9, 2011 the TLT traded down to the $88.14 level. If you draw a straight line up to the 20 moving average from that $88.14 level you will see that the distance from that low pivot to the 20 moving average was $2.74. That is the distance that will be used for evaluating a future trade entry.

    On March 23, 2011 the TLT spiked sharply higher and became extended from the 20 moving average. If you simply copy the $2.74 measurement from the February 9, 2011 extended move and place that line on the 20 moving average of March 23, 2011 you see that it is extended and into resistance. This tells us that the TLT will likely pullback before moving higher. Therefore, if you own the TLT you can take profits on the trade or simply trail the stop loss. Traders that are aggressive and want to short the TLT can do so at the daily chart resistance from the last pivot high which was on December 21, 2010 at $94.70 a share.

    This technique can be applied to all time frames and used on all types of equities such as stocks, commodities, forex, and futures. Test it out a few times before adding it to your trading arsenal. By locating equities that are extended you will add more probability in favor of your trade succeeding. I am confident that once you start using this technique it will become one of your favorite methods for finding overbought and oversold equities.

    [​IMG]

    SembCorp - Extremely extended from its 20d SMA

    SembCorp broke the last line of defense @ 5.18 and closed with a spinning top @ 5.09 (-0.29, -5.4%) on 6 Nov 2012.

    Immediate resistance 5.18, the 200d SMA; immediate support 5.05, next support 4.90.

    [​IMG][/url]

    [video=youtube;91qYeRlu-RM]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=91qYeRlu-RM[/video]

     
  2. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    The MSM journalists have been promoting S-REITs non-stop for the past couple of months.

    Many S-REITs are powering higher and higher due to excessive analysts coverage.

    Anything that is extremely over-hyped could be ripe for a correction — may be a steep one.

    Don't follow the crowd.

    ”The man who follows the crowd will usually get no further than the crowd. The man who walks alone is likely to find himself no one has ever been”. — Alan Ashley-Pitt

    REITS — GOING STRONG, reported on 28th June 2012

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    Groupthink is a concept refering to faulty decision-making in a group. Groups experiencing groupthink do not consider all alternatives and they desire unanimity at the expense of quality decisions.

    ANALYSTS COVERAGE
    Analysts rated 'BUY' on S-REITs since early-Oct 2012.

    1. CapitaMall Trust TP S$2.36 - DMG 23 Oct 2012

    2. Ascott Residence Trust TP S$1.37 - OCBC 24 Oct 2012

    3. CapitaCommercial Trust
    TP S$1.66 - DB
    TP S$1.73 - CIMB​

    4. Suntec REIT
    TP S$1.66 - Maybank Kim Eng 10 Oct 2012
    TP S$1.64 - DB
    TP S$1.79 - CIMB
    Upgraded To Buy - DMG​

    5. CapitaMalls Asia
    TP S$1.80 - CIMB
    TP S$2.15 - Jefferies​

    6. Frasers Commercial Trust
    TP S$1.37 - CIMB
    TP S$1.31 - OCBC 10 Oct 2012​

    7. Mapletree Comm Trust
    TP S$1.33 - DB
    TP $1.39 - CIMB​

    OCBC's review 24 Oct 2012:

    Ascott Residence Trust BUY TP S$1.37

    RESULTS IN-LINE, UPPING FV TO S$1.37
    • 3Q12 results as expected
    • RevPAU grew by 1%
    • Can compete with hotels and apartments

    3Q12 results in-line
    Ascott Residence Trust’s (ART) 3Q12 revenue increased by 6% YoY to
    S$77.4m, chiefly due to the contribution of Citadines Shinjuku and
    Citadines Kyoto, and better performance in the UK and China. Gross
    profit rose by 2% YoY to S$40.7m. 3Q12 DPU inched up 0.4% to 2.24
    S cents. YTD 2012 DPU of 6.76 S cents is in-line with our
    expectations, forming 77% of our prior FY12 estimate of 8.8 S cents,
    which we now raise to 8.9 S cents. The portfolio will be enlarged by
    the acquisition of Madison Hamburg in 4Q12.

    RevPAU inches up
    Revenue per available unit (RevPAU) for the serviced residences (SRs)
    grew by 1% to S$148/day. In the UK, RevPAU grew by 9% YoY to
    S$228. The refurbished Citadines Prestige Trafalgar Square
    commanded higher rates. In China, RevPAU grew by 15% YoY to
    S$125, partly due to better demand for the refurbished apartments of
    Somerset Olympic Tower. There was weakness in France, Australia
    and Singapore. Revenue and gross profit in France fell 6% and 7% in
    S$ terms, however, in EUR terms, they had increased by 6% and 4%
    respectively. On a same-store basis, Australia saw RevPAU fall 2%.
    Singapore's RevPAU dropped 4% arising from the then-impending
    closure of Somerset Grand Cairnhill on 27 Sep. As of Jul 2012,
    Somerset Salcedo Property Makati was renamed Salcedo Residences
    after conversion from a master lease arrangement to a management
    contract.

    Balanced profile for duration of stay
    We find it encouraging that significant fractions of YTD apartment
    rental income are contributed by stays of one week or less (34%), <1
    month (18%) and >12 months (15%). This indicates that ART's
    properties are able to compete with hotels, which are targeted at
    short-stay guests, and apartments (excluding SRs), which appeal to
    long-stay tenants. Average apartment rental income by length of stay
    is around four months.

    Raise FV to S$1.37
    We update our discount rate and capitalisation rate assumptions.
    Raising our fair value from S$1.30 to S$1.37, we maintain our BUY
    rating on ART.

    REITs may offer better bet for nervous property investors

    By Wong Wei Han
    Oct 10, 2012

    SINGAPORE - The Republic's real-estate investment trusts (REITs) could be a better bet in the coming months for investors looking for exposure to the property sector but are nervous about the possibility of more cooling measures, according to some analysts.

    "In view of the impact of cooling measures, we believe investors will remain defensive with stock picks towards the year-end. That's why for the fourth quarter, we prefer S-REITs over the developer sector," said analyst Lock Mun Yee from DBS Vickers, which expects Singapore REITs to outperform property counters in the near-term.

    Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported last month that the local REIT market has led the global league table so far this year, returning an average 37 per cent. That is twice the gains in the United States, United Kingdom and Japan, according to Bloomberg data, and better than Australia, which advanced 24 per cent.

    Frasers Commercial Trust (FCT) is one REIT highlighted by analysts.

    OCBC Investment Research raised its fair value on FCT yesterday to S$1.31 from S$1.23 while maintaining its "Buy" call. The interest savings arising from the early refinancing of a S$500 million loan facility and stronger rental income after the acquisition of direct tenant leases at China Square Central are also positives, OCBC Investment said. In addition, proceeds from the recent sale of the KeyPoint property could be used to reduce debt liabilities.

    DBS Vickers also sees potential in FCT. "We continue to like FCT due to its stable income profile and the positive impact coming in from its management execution, as evident in Causeway Point's enhancement strategy. Thirdly, given that it's trading above book, we see opportunities of inorganic growth," said Ms Lock.

    Also in the spotlight is Suntec REIT, with DBS Vickers citing its attractive yield and the positive earnings impact in the medium term from its asset enhancement initiatives.

    That view is shared by Maybank Kim Eng, which earlier this week upgraded its rating on the REIT to "Buy" from "Hold", while increasing its target price to S$1.66 from S$1.42, citing as positives the progress of refurbishment work at Suntec Mall and Convention Centre and the near complete occupancy of its office portfolio against a looming supply glut.

    "With all its assets and income contribution from Singapore, we believe investors will continue to favour Suntec in the absence of forex risk, highly liquid S-REIT counters and investable alternatives," said Maybank.
     
  3. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    How To Locate And Trade An Extended Move

    Sometimes stocks will break out or break down in a very sharp and steep angle on the charts. These type of patterns are often referred to as a parabolic move when they surge to the upside. When these patterns occur to the downside they will often be referred to as a falling knife or waterfall decline. The actual name is irrelevant, however, understanding the chart pattern is very important. As a general rule, if you ever put a protractor up to your screen from any pivot low or pivot top and the angle is more than 60 degrees it is usually unsustainable. It does not matter if the stock or commodity is rallying or declining. The technique I will show you here will help to identify when the equity is running out of steam in either direction, and will need to retrace and consolidate some of its move.

    Step 1. Scan through stock charts and find a time when a stock was extremely extended from its 20 (SMA) simple moving average.

    Step 2. Determine the distance of where the stock was trading from the 20 moving average. Simply calculate the distance of the stock from the 20 MA and draw a vertical line to reflect it.

    Step 3. Take this distance and place the line on your chart. Follow the 20 SMA with the line; if at any point the stock price exceeds the length of the line from the 20 SMA, this will be your opportunity for a trade. Wait patiently, anytime price gets above or below the distance of the line, go long or short the stock. In this example, we are looking to enter a short position when price exceeds the distance of the line to the upside. ​

    Example:

    Take a look at the TLT chart below. On February 9, 2011 the TLT traded down to the $88.14 level. If you draw a straight line up to the 20 moving average from that $88.14 level you will see that the distance from that low pivot to the 20 moving average was $2.74. That is the distance that will be used for evaluating a future trade entry.

    On March 23, 2011 the TLT spiked sharply higher and became extended from the 20 moving average. If you simply copy the $2.74 measurement from the February 9, 2011 extended move and place that line on the 20 moving average of March 23, 2011 you see that it is extended and into resistance. This tells us that the TLT will likely pullback before moving higher. Therefore, if you own the TLT you can take profits on the trade or simply trail the stop loss. Traders that are aggressive and want to short the TLT can do so at the daily chart resistance from the last pivot high which was on December 21, 2010 at $94.70 a share.

    This technique can be applied to all time frames and used on all types of equities such as stocks, commodities, forex, and futures. Test it out a few times before adding it to your trading arsenal. By locating equities that are extended you will add more probability in favor of your trade succeeding. I am confident that once you start using this technique it will become one of your favorite methods for finding overbought and oversold equities.

    [​IMG]

    SembCorp - Extremely extended from its 20d SMA

    [​IMG]
     
  4. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    High volume is bearish when the major ck is distributing the stock.

    High volume is bullish when the major ck is accumulating the stock.

    博弈量能
     
  5. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    博弈量能上

    博弈量能下
     
  6. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    胡立阳投资秘笈系列 股票异动及应对 121030

    胡立阳的投资股票秘诀

    买股票的第一目的:增加生活的情趣,绝非“赚钱”。

    1.投资股票的第一个秘诀:低买高卖。

    2.投资股票的第二个秘诀:大赚小赔注:股票上涨一点点,男人很容易抛售,而下跌则一味的认为还会涨。

    3.投资股票的第三个秘诀:买股票要听太太的话注:女人的天性更加适合股市,优于男人。

    4.投资股票的第四个秘诀:股票每年的下跌机率1.2次/年。

    5.投资股票的第五个秘诀:购进股票要遵循“养羊”理论不要购进太多的股票,要对购进的股票有深刻的了解。
    注:价跌量增说明卖的人多,这种情况不好,不要碰。价升量增,可搭股东顺风车。

    6.投资股票的第六个秘诀:
    “地心引力”理论参考值为移动平均线值的上下10%
    移动平均线=(30日移动平均线+72日移动平均线)除以2
    注:只针对大盘,不针对个股;牛熊市同样适用移动平均线(MA)是应用非常广泛的一种技术指标。它构造简单,客观公正,不易人为操作骗线,受到很多股票投资者的青睐。
    指数平均数的计算:
    所谓"移动平均线"是指一段时间内的算术平均线,通常以收盘价作为计算值。其公式如下:
    * MA(N)=第1日收盘价+第2日收盘价+………………+第N日收盘价/N
    例如:把某日的收盘价与前9个交易日的收盘价相加求和,然后再除以10,就可以得到该日的10日移动平均线值MA(10)

    7.投资股票的第七个秘诀:(最值得重视的操作技术)当碰到“牛市”的时候,必须进行“多手”购进卖出
    操作实例:50元到150元操作:50元买入1手,第二天涨了5%,再买入一手,第三天继续涨5%,就再买1手,第四天跌5%,就卖1手。。。如果第二天跌5%,宣告结束,操作其它股票。

    8.投资股票的第八个秘诀:用射“飞镖”的方法购进5支个股注:技术分析派,基本面分析派,黑猩猩(随机派)人算不如天算

    9.投资股票的第九个秘诀:每周淘汰掉最后3支股票,并补足5支股票 注:先随机选5支股票,第一周末按收益排名,去除最后三支股票,并随机购入三支新股票,第二周末再排名。。。研究发现,八个月后,收益颇丰。

    10.投资股票的第十个秘诀:做短线的股票,购进3天不赚钱就卖掉

    11.投资股票的第十一个秘诀:做短线的股票,遵循进3退1华尔兹理论(上涨30%止赢,下跌10%止损)

    12.投资股票的第十二个秘诀:股票投资要买进早几天卖出晚几天

    13.投资股票的第十三个秘诀:不要和股票谈恋爱

    14.投资股票的第十四个秘诀:涨时重势,跌时重质

    15.投资股票的第十五个秘诀:新手怕急跌,老手怕盘跌,高手怕不跌

    16.投资股票的第十六个秘诀:投资股票的第1桶金不要从股市中得来(找到一份喜欢的工作,从工作中获益)

    胡立阳著名股票投资理论
    “股市地心引力指标”
    “股市农夫播种投资术”
    “股市进三退一华尔兹韵律”
    “股市养羊理论”
    “股市短线3天原则”
    “金字塔操作法”
    “三梯次买进法”
    “股票懒人操作术”
    “飞镖选个股技巧”
    “四分之一判定法”
    “百分之一设定法”
    “立阳短线指标”

    胡立阳的股市名言
    “不要和股票谈恋爱”
    “投资股票,宁学女人”
    “投资股票,听太太的话准没错”
    “别人在股市中犯的每一个错误都是为你在累计财富”
    “买进早几天,卖出晚几天”
    “股市中信赖你的第一直觉,它往往是对的”
    “谁说卖掉的股票不能再买回来?”
    “股价脱轨不容忽视,斩草除根才是良策”

    胡立阳的八大反传统观念
    1.不要听亲朋好友的话,他们只会让你成为“平凡人”
    2.不要“用功读书”,重要的是“要读对书”
    3.不要“努力工作”,重要的是“做对工作”
    4.不要只结交“志同道合”的朋友,否则你永远只看到“一半”的世界
    5.不要为不喜欢的工作找借口,只有“不安于室”才能一步登天
    6.不要只是“准备好了等机会”,更重要的是要“制造机会”
    7.不要以为“钱不会从天上掉下来”,只是你必须“站对地方”接
    8.不要正面思考,要逆向思考,只有“不正常”的人才有“出人头地”的机会
     
  7. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    Mika,

    Always do your homework and trust your own chart!

    Nobody will pity you if you follow analyst's call/chart and lose your hard-earned money in the stock market!

    EXAMPLE: OCEANUS

    Question: What happened to Oceanus's share price after UOB-KH's TECHNICAL BUY CALL TP S$0.07 on 3 Oct 2012?

    Answer: It collapsed > 50% in one month's time!

    Oceanus hit low of 0.025 and closed with a hammer @ 0.029 (+0.002,+7.4%) on 2 Nov 2012.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

     
  8. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    History repeats itself. The future is but a repetition of the past..."The thing that hath been, it is that which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done: and there is no new thing under the sun."

    技术分析:

    一代过去,一代又来。地却永远长存。
    日头出来,日头落下,急归所出之地。
    风往南刮,又向北转,不住地旋转,而且返回转行原道。
    江河都往海里流,海却不满。江河从何处流,仍归何处……。
    已有的事,后必再有。已行的事,后必再行。日光之下并无新事。
     
  9. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    [video=youtube;OoFTRGCz908]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OoFTRGCz908[/video]

    心のこり — 細川たかし

    作词 なかにし礼 作曲 中村泰士

    私バカよね おバカさんよね
    うしろ指 うしろ指 さされても
    あなたひとりに 命をかけて
    耐えてきたのよ 今日まで
    秋風が吹く 港の町を
    船が 出てゆくように
    私も旅に出るわ 明日の朝早く

    私バカよね おバカさんよね
    大切な 大切な 純情を
    わるい人だと 知っていながら
    あげてしまった あなたに
    秋風の中 枯葉がひとつ
    枝を はなれるように
    私も旅に出るわ あてもないままに

    私バカよね おバカさんよね
    あきらめが あきらめが 悪いのね
    一度はなれた 心は二度と
    もどらないのよ もとには
    秋風が吹く つめたい空に
    鳥が 飛び立つように
    私も旅に出るわ ひとり泣きながら

    -----------------------------------------------------
    我是个傻瓜 真是个傻瓜呀
    即使被人家在背后指指点点
    仍旧为你赌命
    咬紧牙根忍耐到今天 秋风吹拂著港都
    船只陆陆续续地进出一般
    明天一早 我也要出去旅行了

    我是个傻瓜 真是个傻瓜呀
    把真诚的 真诚的纯情
    明知不是好人
    却仍奉献给了你
    像是秋风中的一片枯叶
    吹离了枝头一般
    我也即将远行 连目的地也没有

    我是个傻瓜 真是个傻瓜呀
    死心吧 死心吧 不是个好人
    离弃了的心境
    再也不会回到以前的样子了
    秋风吹过凄冷的天空
    像飞去的小鸟般
    我也要独自饮泣出去旅行了
     
  10. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    "What does not kill me makes me stronger." ~ Friedrich Nietzsche

    Nietzsche used a similar line in Ecce Homo (written 1888, published 1908), the last book he wrote before going completely insane.

    In the chapter of Ecce Homo titled “Why I Am So Wise,” he wrote that a person who has “turned out well” could be recognized by certain attributes, such as a knack for exploiting bad accidents to his advantage.

    Regarding such a man, Nietzsche said: “What does not kill him makes him stronger.”

    [video=youtube;e-JOmNp-npw]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e-JOmNp-npw[/video]

    這一生,至少當一次傻瓜
    Never Give Up On Your Dreams
    [​IMG]
     
  11. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    [video=youtube;1b_IdgVonis]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1b_IdgVonis&NR=1[/video]

    「我發現人生是如此美妙」— 海倫•凱勒

    沒有人能摧毀你的快樂...

    快樂源於人的內心,而非外在的條件,擁有地位、財富、權勢、美貌等,並不能讓人免於憂慮。所有的一切,都取決於你的思想、價值觀與人生態度。

    憂慮,是大部分人的困擾...
    現代人雖然擁有空前富裕的物質享受,但是卻沒有更快樂。

    我們肩上揹負的重擔、無法逃避的壓力、所忍受的痛苦指數,反而和財富與物質文明的進步,同步擴增。

    壓力走,免疫力自然來...事實證明,許多疾病都與憂慮有關。
    相反地,有許多研究證實,當一個人解決情緒壓力,丟開憂慮煩惱時,免疫力會變強,身體變得更健康。

    請容許我再提醒一次,再多財富權勢也買不回健康。

    你有權決定自己的生活方式...

    其實,克服憂慮、排除壓力、緊張,是有方法的。

    只要用對方法,任何人都能活得比以前更輕鬆、更快樂,打造更自在、更富創意的優質人生。

    克服憂慮的魔術方程式。

    什麼是「克服憂慮的魔術方程式」?

    真的這麼神奇有效嗎?

    克服憂慮的魔術方程式,其實只有簡單的三步驟:

    1. 問自己:最壞的狀況是什麼?
    2. 接受最壞的狀況
    3. 設法改善最壞的狀況

    這套魔術方程式為什麼如此有效?

    卡內基認為,因為它能幫助我們從漫無邊際的煩惱中回到實際,認清自己的處境。

    若不認清實際的處境,又怎能指望有清晰的思考力與決斷力呢?

    遇到壓力、挫折時,真的沒必要往牛角尖裡鑽,誰敢說在這裡跌一跤,不會反而讓你發現新的美麗風景呢?

    你只要先問問自己:最壞的情況是什麼?冷靜想一想後,會發現問題根本就沒有那麼嚴重嘛!

    你在「想」,還是「擔憂」?

    或許你會說,我一直都在想呀!所以才愈想愈煩惱。

    小心,這可能是個陷阱喔!你究竟是在「想」,還是在「擔憂」?如果你一直在「擔憂」,怎麼可能有時間、有力氣、有心情去「想」呢?

    釋放心靈的能量...

    在逆境中,最需要的就是額外的能量。一旦我們接受最惡劣的狀況,就再也沒有什麼可損失的了,從此以後,所有都是「得」,不再是「失」。

    體認到這一點,整個人頓感輕鬆,心靈的力量也才得以釋放,幫助我們更能冷靜思考,改善逆境。

    啟動左腦,可以快速冷靜...

    當然,我也理解,當人受情緒困擾,要馬上冷靜下來,可真不容易。

    人的右腦掌管情緒,左腦掌管邏輯,透過啟動左腦的機制,可以幫助你控制右腦的情緒作用,讓心情快速平靜下來。

    左腦運動法...

    方法十分簡單,無論你當時身在何處,馬上數一數所在的地方有幾種顏色。

    比方我在客廳裡,可以看見灰黑色、暗紅色、咖啡色、白色、綠色……等十種顏色。

    當你這樣做,既要辨別顏色,又要數數量,左腦開始工作了,就會壓抑右腦的機制,本來控制不住的情緒,很快就會鎮定下來。

    分辨宿命與接受事實的不同...

    接受事實是克服憂慮的第一步,因為掙扎愁苦,也不能改變一點事實。

    我從不鼓吹宿命論,只要有一點挽救的機會,我們就該奮鬥,想對策解決,但是當我們衡量事實,判斷情勢不可能挽回了,千萬不要再胡思亂想,甚至拒絕面對。

    何不讓人生更快樂?

    思想形塑了我們的人生,如果能讓心中充滿平安、勇氣、健康與希望,不僅能擠走種種負面情緒,也會將我們的人生引導到相同的美好境界。

    建立創造幸福的認知,與學習克服憂慮的法則,其實是一體的兩面,是支撐快樂之屋的雙樑,缺一不可。

    數算你得到的恩惠...

    我們對於擁有的幸福,往往因為平常,就視若無睹,不知原來自己一直活在恩典裡。

    相信多數人生活中大概百分之九十都還算順利,只有百分之十是有問題的。

    如果你總是放大生活中百分之十的不如意,總是盤算自己究竟有多倒楣,那麼煩惱、憂慮、胃潰瘍、心臟病很快就會找上你。

    小結:想要快樂很簡單...

    如果我們想要快樂,只需集中注意力在那百分之九十的好事上,不去斤斤計較另外的百分之十就可以了。

    不開心的時候,記得盤算你所得到的恩惠。當你發現,生命值得感恩的、美好的事物竟然那麼多,你還會不開心嗎?
     
  12. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    葡萄美酒夜光杯,
    欲饮琵琶马上催。
    醉卧沙场君莫笑,
    古来征战几人回。


    This poem is best to describe the stock market as a bloody battlefield.
    While chances of winning do exist but it's not meant for everyone.
    In most cases, soldiers (investors) fight hard and die in the war (stock market).
    It's so sad that they rarely return home safe and sound, as winners.
     
  13. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    [video=youtube;Jayhm-Ji-Ew]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jayhm-Ji-Ew[/video]

    〈走出去就有路〉-- 動力火車

    原唱:動力火車
    詞曲:陳佳明

    走出去就有路 尋見了就有福
    擁有的一切 都進了包袱
    思念是帶不走的

    天空烏雲密佈 心中翻騰起伏
    雖將飄搖  前途仍模糊
    此地會是我 衣錦還鄉處

    飄洋過海  我吃的起苦
    相信天無絕人之路
    現實有咒詛 夢裏有祝福
    有緣同舟 風雨共渡

    頂著烈日當空 眼底有迷霧
    不能再讓懦弱困住
    日子多坎坷 命運有變數
    只盼久旱逢甘露


    There will be a path if you walk,
    There will be happiness if you seek.
    All that I possessed are packed,
    yet I am unable to bring along my remembrance.
    Clouds of uncertainty shrouds the sky,
    as are the turbulences in my heart.
    Though I shall sail into a blurry future,
    this shall be where I return in glory.
    Sailing across the sea, I can take the hardship,
    With the belief that the God will not abandon me.
    Just as there are curses in life, there are blessings in dreams.
    Since we have the affinity to be on the same boat, we shall face the storms together.
    Bracing against the blazing sun, there is fog beneath my eyes.
    I can be trapped by my cowardice and weakness no more.
    However hard life is, there is changing factors in fate.
    All I pray is a break from all my sufferings.
     
  14. zuolun

    zuolun Well-Known Member

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    [​IMG]

    Maslow’s Hierarchy: Trading Self-Actualization

    By Spencer Li
    3 August 2012

    Some of you might have heard the term before, but are not really sure what it means. So what exactly does self-actualisation mean?

    The term originally came from Maslow's hierarchy of needs, which represents the things people strive for as they grow and evolve. As we progress from basic needs like food and shelter to more complex ones like esteem and knowledge, what awaits at the top is self-actualization.

    Simply put, it is reaching your full potential, and in the context of trading, it means being able to become the "ideal" trader which you envision.

    If you're been trading for many years, you should have acquired many different skills and experience. But are you putting these to good use? How is it possible for you to reach your full potential?

    The key lies not in using everything you have learnt, but rather in knowing what is not essential. Once you learn to think in essentials, you will realise that you will have to discard most of what you have learnt, and focus on the 10-20% that works. Clinging on to old baggage will slow your progress.

    Now, I want you to visualise a circle. Label this circle "Current Reality". This circle represents what you are currently like - your habits, your style, your results, your skill level, and your attributes. Take some time to do some self-reflection, and figure out what is wrong.

    Next, visualise another circle which partially overlaps the first circle. Label this circle "New Reality". This circle represents what you want to become, and is a blueprint of the "ideal" trader which you have envisioned, and embodies all the essential attributes of such a trader.

    The overlapping region is the zone of self-actualization.

    Let me give you an analogy. If you want to lose weight or get fit, the "Current Reality" could be someone who does not exercise and eats unhealthily, while the "New Reality" is picture of the gorgeous body you saw in some health magazine. The zone of self-actualization is then simply the series of steps you take to bridge the gap between dreams and reality.

    Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, and expecting different results. This means taking the time to learn from your mistakes. The bottom line is, if you want different results, something has to change.

    [video=youtube;EH04OsNuvcw]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EH04OsNuvcw[/video]
     
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